AEM SE vs Alcarras B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEM SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALM
3 - 3
AEM
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AEM
2 - 1
SUD
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 1
AEM
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AEM
2 - 3
PUI
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SOS
2 - 1
AEM
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alcarras B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
TER
13%
18%
70%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PAN
5 - 2
ALC
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALC
69%
16%
15%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 2
SUD
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |