AEL Limassol vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
11º
11º
54
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 2
AEL
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
5 - 2
ETH
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 1
AEL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 3
PAF
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
APO
3 - 0
AEL
67%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
ANO
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
AEK
5 - 0
AKR
81%
14%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NEA
1 - 3
AEK
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
ETH
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |