AEK Larnaca vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
5º
2º
72
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
OMO
1 - 1
AEK
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
OMO
2 - 0
AEK
16%
25%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 0
OMM
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 3
AEK
18%
24%
57%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
AEK
4 - 1
ENO
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ENO
1 - 2
ARI
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ARI
3 - 0
APO
48%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEL
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ANO
0 - 3
ARI
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |