Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
AEK Athens vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
GIA
0 - 2
AEK
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 0
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 1
XAN
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 1
AEK
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
IRA
0 - 0
PLA
26%
31%
43%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 1
IRA
71%
20%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 0
VER
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PAN
1 - 0
IRA
74%
19%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
IRA
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |