UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 0-3
AEK Athens vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
AEK
3 - 1
BAN
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
KOR
0 - 1
AEK
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
PAN
1 - 2
AEK
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAO
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
1 - 3
LOK
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 3
CSK
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
1 - 1
KRA
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
4 - 2
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
CSK
3 - 0
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |