AE Garibaldi vs CA Carazinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SLU
3 - 2
AEG
78%
15%
6%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 0
AEG
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AEG
3 - 0
GRA
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
AEG
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AEG
0 - 0
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Carazinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 2
GLO
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
CAC
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 5
BRA
15%
19%
65%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CAC
3 - 1
SAN
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 0
CAC
69%
19%
13%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |