Franciacorta vs US Breno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
1 - 1
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 0
ADR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
0 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SON
1 - 4
ADR
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
1 - 2
VCB
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
USP
2 - 0
USB
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
USB
0 - 1
CAL
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 2
USB
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USB
1 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
5 - 0
USB
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |