Franciacorta vs Folgore Caratese analysis


37	ELO	33
7.3%	Tilt	-2.1%
27574º	General ELO ranking	4236º
809º	Country ELO ranking	146º
ELO win probability

61.3%

Franciacorta

20.2%

Draw

18.5%

Folgore Caratese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

61.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%

20.2%

Draw

0-0

3.9%

1-1

9.2%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

20.2%

18.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

6º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

51

1º

10º

7º

36

10º

18º

13º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

14º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	74	77	1º	100%
2º	72	72	2º	100%
3º	58	59	3º	100%
4º	56	57	4º	100%
7º	50	53	5º	58%
5º	51	51	6º	42%
6º	51	51	7º	0%
8º	47	48	8º	61.5%
9º	46	47	9º	61.5%
10º	45	45	10º	100%
12º	38	41	11º	100%
11º	39	39	12º	30.5%
14º	36	39	13º	10.5%
13º	36	37	14º	16%
15º	36	37	15º	45%
16º	33	33	16º	92.5%
17º	26	26	17º	100%
18º	15	15	18º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	42%	0%
Mid-table	58%	83%
Relegation play-offs	0%	17%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Franciacorta

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Sep. 2022	ACL 0 - 1 ADR 39% 25% 37%	35	34	1	0
11 Sep. 2022	ADR 3 - 2 CAR 39% 24% 37%	34	40	6	+1
04 Sep. 2022	USP 0 - 0 ADR 27% 24% 49%	34	30	4	0
28 Aug. 2022	CAS 0 - 1 ADR 58% 20% 22%	33	42	9	+1
17 Aug. 2022	ADR 0 - 2 PER 16% 21% 64%	33	51	18	0

Matches

Folgore Caratese

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Sep. 2022	FOL 1 - 0 VCB 28% 23% 49%	31	38	7	0
11 Sep. 2022	SON 2 - 0 FOL 33% 24% 43%	33	28	5	-2
04 Sep. 2022	FOL 0 - 4 ACL 51% 24% 25%	35	32	3	-2
28 Aug. 2022	ALC 4 - 1 FOL 48% 23% 30%	36	37	1	-1
08 Aug. 2022	FOL 1 - 2 REN 15% 23% 63%	36	51	15	0