Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
9º
3º
35
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 4
ADE
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 4
WES
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 0
SYD
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 3
WPH
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |