Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
WUF
1 - 0
ADE
34%
27%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 2
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
ADE
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 2
MCI
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
ADE
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SYD
2 - 1
WPH
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
AVH
1 - 4
WPH
6%
14%
80%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
WPH
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
WES
0 - 1
WPH
5%
13%
82%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |