Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2006 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 3
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
3 - 1
BRI
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
2 - 3
BRI
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
SYD
3 - 0
BRI
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |