Adelaide Comets vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
WHI
2 - 2
ADE
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
ADE
0 - 2
ADE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ADE
0 - 2
CAM
15%
22%
63%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 3
ADE
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
CAN
0 - 4
NEM
36%
22%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
NEM
3 - 1
MOD
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PCP
0 - 3
NEM
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
NEM
0 - 1
WES
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NEM
1 - 1
ADE
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +2 |