Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 1
ADE
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 4
WES
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
ADE
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
0 - 3
ADE
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
6 - 3
CRO
31%
22%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
6 - 1
CRO
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 3
MOD
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
1 - 1
PAL
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NEM
4 - 3
ADE
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
5 - 1
PAR
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |