Adelaide City vs Para Hills Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 3
ADE
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 0
NEM
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SYD
5 - 4
ADE
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEM
2 - 1
ADE
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Para Hills Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 3
ADE
44%
24%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
MOD
48%
22%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAR
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NEM
10%
18%
73%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +4 |