AD San José vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 1
ADS
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
ADS
0 - 3
VEN
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PUE
4 - 2
ADS
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ADS
1 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
ADS
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARH
0 - 3
EST
75%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ELP
1 - 1
ARH
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARH
4 - 1
DOS
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAZ
0 - 1
ARH
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARH
3 - 1
OSU
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |