AD Plus Ultra vs Santa Barbara CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.2%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
RAY
0 - 3
PUL
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
PUL
8 - 2
ARA
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUL
28%
23%
48%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PUL
1 - 2
CFC
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
RJA
3 - 0
PUL
70%
17%
13%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Barbara CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
SBA
1 - 1
UBC
22%
24%
54%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
TAL
5 - 3
SBA
94%
5%
2%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
SBA
1 - 1
AVI
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |