Peñaflor vs Grisen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
41.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 5
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 3
RCA
60%
19%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
3 - 2
HIS
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SJU
3 - 2
PAD
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZAS
4 - 1
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grisen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRI
4 - 2
OAN
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRI
2 - 1
OLI
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACU
5 - 5
GRI
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRI
3 - 3
SIR
41%
21%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMP
3 - 1
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |