Peñaflor vs APA Vedruna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñaflor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 0
PAD
62%
18%
20%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAD
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
ACR
6%
11%
82%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CRP
3 - 2
PAD
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 5
QUA
16%
17%
67%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
APA Vedruna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
APV
0 - 2
MIR
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
APV
0 - 2
CBO
37%
21%
42%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ZCC
1 - 4
APV
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDS
1 - 4
APV
24%
20%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
APV
0 - 2
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |