Deportivo Pasto vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
2 - 1
PAS
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
CAL
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
PAS
3 - 0
JUN
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 0
PAS
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
QUI
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAR
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |