Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AME
4 - 0
PAS
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 1
PAS
27%
30%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 1
TOL
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
PAS
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 2
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
JAG
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
BUC
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
IND
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |