Copa Colombia Semi-finals

Global 3-1

Deportivo Pasto vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

Deportivo Pasto Atlético Bucaramanga
80 ELO 60
-7.2% Tilt -11.9%
570º General ELO ranking 558º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.7%
Deportivo Pasto
17.7%
Draw
8.6%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.6%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Pasto
-5%
+12%
Atlético Bucaramanga

ELO progression

Deportivo Pasto
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
40%
29%
31%
80 76 4 0
18 Oct. 2012
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
22%
25%
53%
80 60 20 0
14 Oct. 2012
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 1
Águilas Doradas
AGU
48%
27%
25%
80 79 1 0
07 Oct. 2012
CAL
Deportivo Cali
0 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
53%
25%
22%
80 82 2 0
04 Oct. 2012
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 0
Real Cartagena
CAR
70%
20%
10%
80 65 15 0

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2012
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 1
América de Cali
AME
27%
25%
47%
61 74 13 0
18 Oct. 2012
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
22%
25%
53%
60 80 20 +1
14 Oct. 2012
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 2
Internacional de Palmira
COR
38%
27%
36%
59 64 5 +1
10 Oct. 2012
TFC
Tigres FC
0 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
31%
28%
41%
59 54 5 0
07 Oct. 2012
UNI
Universitario Popayán
1 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
50%
26%
23%
60 62 2 -1