AD Nogueirense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADN
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ADM
2 - 1
ADN
43%
24%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADN
4 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 4
ADN
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 0
NAV
15%
22%
62%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ADN
3 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 2
NAV
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 1
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOU
41%
25%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |