AD Nogueirense vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COI
3 - 1
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 0
CIN
31%
26%
44%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
34%
26%
39%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 2
ADN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ADN
1 - 2
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 2
LUS
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 0
ANA
20%
23%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +4 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |