AD Marco 09 vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
79.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
14º
4º
34
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
ADM
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
AMA
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ODO
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
BMA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 2
VSC
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 0
ALB
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 1
MOR
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |