AD Llerenense vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UDC
0 - 2
ADL
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UCL
4 - 5
ADL
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ADL
0 - 2
OLI
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADL
0 - 1
UDF
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CDB
3 - 2
ADL
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
EMD
2 - 4
SPR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDA
1 - 2
EMD
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
EMD
2 - 0
CDB
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
UCL
1 - 1
EMD
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EMD
2 - 1
SPV
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |