Frei Paulistano vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 0
AFP
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
ABC
10%
20%
70%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
AFP
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
POT
2 - 2
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
4 - 1
POT
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
AFP
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |