Frei Paulistano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
3 - 2
AFP
8%
13%
79%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 4
AFP
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
AMP
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
CON
68%
18%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
34%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |