AD Covadonga vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
9.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEI
0 - 2
COV
40%
21%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
AMO
47%
21%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 4
COV
20%
19%
62%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COV
4 - 0
COL
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PON
2 - 0
COV
50%
20%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 3
MEL
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 2
LOÑ
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LEI
6 - 3
ARR
52%
20%
27%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 4
AMO
31%
21%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 3
ARR
31%
21%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |