Alcorcón vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
GUA
3 - 1
ALC
33%
29%
38%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 3
PEG
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 2
DAI
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
CAR
1 - 2
ALC
59%
24%
18%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
ALC
2 - 1
TAR
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
MST
1 - 1
TRJ
31%
28%
41%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
SFN
2 - 1
MST
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
MST
1 - 3
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
MAN
6 - 1
MST
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
MST
0 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |