Alcorcón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
GRA
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
ALC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
MUR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAB
1 - 2
ALC
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HER
3 - 0
SAB
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CCF
4 - 2
HER
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |