Alcorcón vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
GET
0 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
LAN
3 - 0
ALC
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 0
VEC
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
ATB
1 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
HER
2 - 2
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
RMC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
OND
2 - 3
HER
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | +1 |