Segunda . Jor. 20

Alcorcón vs Girona analysis

Alcorcón Girona
74 ELO 76
-16.4% Tilt -0.6%
1204º General ELO ranking 51º
49º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.8%
Alcorcón
28.5%
Draw
37.8%
Girona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.8%
Win probability
Girona
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcorcón
+3%
+10%
Girona

ELO progression

Alcorcón
Girona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2016
CDT
Tenerife
1 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
35%
28%
37%
73 68 5 0
20 Dec. 2015
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 0
Albacete
ALB
43%
28%
29%
73 70 3 0
12 Dec. 2015
ALA
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
44%
27%
30%
73 71 2 0
05 Dec. 2015
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
48%
28%
24%
73 70 3 0
28 Nov. 2015
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
46%
27%
28%
72 75 3 +1

Matches

Girona
Girona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2016
GIR
Girona
1 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
44%
26%
30%
76 77 1 0
19 Dec. 2015
MLL
Mallorca
1 - 1
Girona
GIR
30%
29%
41%
76 68 8 0
12 Dec. 2015
GIR
Girona
0 - 1
Elche
ELC
43%
27%
31%
76 79 3 0
06 Dec. 2015
GIR
Girona
1 - 2
Córdoba CF
CCF
56%
24%
20%
77 72 5 -1
29 Nov. 2015
CDT
Tenerife
1 - 1
Girona
GIR
28%
29%
43%
77 68 9 0
X