ACV Assen vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
DRA
0 - 2
ACV
19%
23%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DOS
1 - 1
ACV
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 2
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
APE
2 - 1
ACV
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ACV
2 - 0
STA
45%
24%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
DOS
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
BOS
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
VVO
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |