Liga III Group 1 - Promotion Round 1

FC Bacău vs Gloria Ultra analysis

FC Bacău Gloria Ultra
46 ELO 29
0.8% Tilt -7.8%
5341º General ELO ranking 9852º
59º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
65.1%
FC Bacău
20%
Draw
14.8%
Gloria Ultra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
FC Bacău
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.8%
Win probability
Gloria Ultra
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Bacău
+43%
-2%
Gloria Ultra

Points and table prediction

FC Bacău
Their league position
Gloria Ultra
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
34
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Bacău
62
21
100%
Ştiinţa Miroslava
50
16
100%
CSM Bacău
44
11
100%
Gloria Ultra
34
4
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Bacău
Gloria Ultra
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

FC Bacău
Gloria Ultra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Bacău
FC Bacău
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
7 - 0
CSM FC Vaslui
VAS
58%
22%
20%
45 35 10 0
08 Mar. 2025
CSM
CSM Bacău
0 - 1
FC Bacău
ACS
27%
26%
47%
45 36 9 0
28 Feb. 2025
ACS
FC Bacău
3 - 0
Soimii Gura Humorului
SGH
83%
11%
6%
45 16 29 0
07 Dec. 2024
BUC
Bucovina Rădăuţi
4 - 3
FC Bacău
ACS
28%
26%
46%
46 34 12 -1
29 Nov. 2024
ACS
FC Bacău
6 - 0
Ştiinţa Miroslava
TII
49%
24%
28%
44 41 3 +2

Matches

Gloria Ultra
Gloria Ultra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2025
RAP
Gloria Ultra
3 - 2
Bucovina Rădăuţi
BUC
36%
23%
40%
28 36 8 0
08 Mar. 2025
USV
USV Iaşi
0 - 3
Gloria Ultra
RAP
22%
21%
58%
28 18 10 0
01 Mar. 2025
RAP
Gloria Ultra
2 - 0
Ştiinţa Miroslava
TII
19%
19%
62%
24 40 16 +4
07 Dec. 2024
VAS
CSM FC Vaslui
1 - 1
Gloria Ultra
RAP
75%
14%
11%
24 36 12 0
30 Nov. 2024
RAP
Gloria Ultra
2 - 0
Ceahlăul II
CEA
49%
22%
30%
23 22 1 +1