Acqui vs Bellinzago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ACQ
0 - 3
GOZ
25%
27%
47%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 2
ACQ
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
5 - 0
ACQ
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACQ
1 - 1
ARG
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 0
ACQ
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bellinzago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SES
0 - 0
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
VFC
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
SET
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
GOZ
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |