Acireale vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 0
ACI
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
0 - 1
GEL
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACI
1 - 0
CCI
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 1
MDR
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 3
ACI
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
MDR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
USC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |