Acireale vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
0 - 1
ACI
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
ACI
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
ASD
43%
29%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 4
BAT
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 2
ASD
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 1
NUO
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LIC
1 - 1
ASD
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |