Achuapa vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
12º
1º
19
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 2
ACH
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
ACH
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
ANT
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 1
ZAC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 0
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
0 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
GUA
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 0
ZAC
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MIX
2 - 0
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MUN
3 - 1
MIX
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |