Achilles '12 vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
76.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
9º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DZO
0 - 0
ACH
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
SVZ
21%
19%
60%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VVH
1 - 3
ACH
56%
20%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KHC
0 - 0
ACH
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ACH
2 - 0
DOS
27%
20%
54%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 0
SVI
90%
7%
4%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NOO
1 - 2
QUI
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 0
DZO
93%
5%
2%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VVH
1 - 2
QUI
16%
18%
67%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 2
EPE
91%
6%
3%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |