Peñiscola vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TRR
2 - 0
PEN
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 2
PEN
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
7 - 0
CLU
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 4
PEN
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALB
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BNC
6 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 1
TIR
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ATZ
2 - 0
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
CHE
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |