Peñiscola vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
POB
3 - 3
PEN
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 3
TRA
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BNC
2 - 1
PEN
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
RAF
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIN
2 - 0
PEN
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
OND
37%
24%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
MOR
61%
19%
20%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
ORP
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 0
CDB
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
POB
0 - 1
MOR
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |