ACD Fatima vs Madrid Rio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
55.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+162%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACD Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ACD
3 - 0
CDB
70%
16%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDP
5 - 1
ACD
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ASO
5 - 0
ACD
37%
21%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
RCC
82%
11%
8%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BRM
0 - 3
ACD
35%
20%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Madrid Rio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
EFU
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
9 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDE
2 - 3
MAR
14%
16%
70%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
6 - 0
CDB
78%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |