League Two Round 21

Accrington Stanley vs Torquay United analysis

Accrington Stanley Torquay United
57 ELO 60
12.9% Tilt -8.5%
3873º General ELO ranking 4326º
102º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
39%
Accrington Stanley
26%
Draw
35.1%
Torquay United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.1%
Win probability
Torquay United
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Accrington Stanley
+13%
+9%
Torquay United

ELO progression

Accrington Stanley
Torquay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
56%
23%
20%
55 58 3 0
26 Nov. 2011
STA
Accrington Stanley
3 - 0
Dagenham & Redbridge
DAG
63%
21%
16%
55 49 6 0
19 Nov. 2011
MAC
Macclesfield Town
1 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
50%
26%
24%
55 56 1 0
12 Nov. 2011
NOT
Notts County
4 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
60%
23%
18%
56 63 7 -1
05 Nov. 2011
STA
Accrington Stanley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
53%
23%
24%
55 53 2 +1

Matches

Torquay United
Torquay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2011
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Barnet
BAR
59%
22%
18%
61 55 6 0
03 Dec. 2011
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
60%
21%
19%
62 68 6 -1
25 Nov. 2011
POR
Port Vale
0 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
35%
27%
38%
62 56 6 0
19 Nov. 2011
GUL
Torquay United
3 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
68%
20%
12%
61 49 12 +1
12 Nov. 2011
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 3
Torquay United
GUL
54%
22%
25%
60 61 1 +1