Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
STA
43%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
STA
1 - 3
ROT
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
LIN
5 - 1
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
STA
1 - 2
BCF
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
STA
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
ALD
2 - 2
GRI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
GRI
1 - 0
STF
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
GRI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
GRI
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |