League Two Round 24

Accrington Stanley vs Bury analysis

Accrington Stanley Bury
60 ELO 60
11.4% Tilt -0.3%
3873º General ELO ranking 3443º
102º Country ELO ranking 90º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Accrington Stanley
23.7%
Draw
19.8%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
Accrington Stanley
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
Bury
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Accrington Stanley
+6%
-4%
Bury

ELO progression

Accrington Stanley
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2009
MOR
Morecambe
1 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
51%
25%
25%
60 61 1 0
15 Dec. 2009
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Accrington Stanley
STA
73%
17%
10%
61 76 15 -1
12 Dec. 2009
NOT
Notts County
1 - 2
Accrington Stanley
STA
47%
26%
27%
60 60 0 +1
08 Dec. 2009
BAR
Barnet
0 - 1
Accrington Stanley
STA
41%
25%
34%
59 57 2 +1
05 Dec. 2009
STA
Accrington Stanley
4 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
46%
25%
29%
59 60 1 0

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2009
DAG
Dagenham & Redbridge
3 - 1
Bury
BCF
55%
24%
21%
60 60 0 0
05 Dec. 2009
BCF
Bury
2 - 0
Barnet
BAR
50%
25%
25%
59 58 1 +1
01 Dec. 2009
MOR
Morecambe
3 - 0
Bury
BCF
45%
27%
28%
60 58 2 -1
24 Nov. 2009
BCF
Bury
2 - 1
Chesterfield
CHE
48%
26%
26%
60 60 0 0
21 Nov. 2009
STF
Shrewsbury Town
1 - 1
Bury
BCF
47%
27%
26%
60 60 0 0