Acassuso vs Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
COM
3 - 0
ACA
56%
25%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 0
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
STM
1 - 2
ACA
41%
30%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 2
FLA
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
AND
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
COL
2 - 0
BRO
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
COL
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
COL
2 - 1
ARM
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |