Academy vs Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
GEO
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 8
CAY
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
ACA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOD
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TIG
2 - 4
ACA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ELI
0 - 4
BOD
54%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ELI
3 - 2
TIG
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ELI
1 - 1
NSI
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
ELI
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 2
ELI
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |