Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
ACA
9%
19%
73%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
COV
2 - 1
ACA
26%
29%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 0
SPC
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
REA
3 - 4
ACA
26%
29%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAM
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 2
COV
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
REA
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ACV
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 1
UNM
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |