Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
35%
29%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAF
1 - 2
ACA
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
ACA
27%
29%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
ACA
3 - 0
FAM
55%
27%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 1
VIZ
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
SCF
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 1
VAR
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
OLH
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |