Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ACA
0 - 0
BMA
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
MOR
1 - 2
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
ACA
2 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 0
IMO
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAR
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 2
BMA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MOR
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |